Exit polls 2024 suggest NDA clinching third term, with significant gains in South

Exit polls 2024 indicate a potential third term for the NDA, with notable gains in the South

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According to all major exit polls, the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to win the 2024 Lok Sabha elections that wrapped up on Saturday with a resounding victory.

Their projections suggest that the BJP is expected to increase its 2019 number of 303 seats, and it could even come close to achieving its goal of ‘ab ki baar, 400 paar’ with allies.

The BJP’s impressive gains in West Bengal and Odisha, as well as their rise in Tamil Nadu, Kerala, and Andhra Pradesh, were the major takeaways of the exit polls. Although they are projected to strengthen their position in Telangana, they are expected to retain their position in Karnataka.

Maharashtra and some northern states are expected to see a slowdown in the NDA juggernaut.

Exit polls predict that the NDA’s 41 seats in the 2019 polls in Maharashtra may fall by as much as 10 seats, but the BJP will not experience any significant losses.

The Congress-led INDIA bloc is projected to gain in Bihar, Rajasthan, and Haryana.

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The Saffron Party was projected to win anywhere from 21 to 30 seats in West Bengal, where the BJP fought a fierce battle with the Trinamool Congress over its 42 seats. While the ABP-CVoter gave the BJP 23-27 seats, India Today-My Axis gave it 26-31 seats. The BJP was expected to sweep in Odisha with 18-20 seats according to India Today-My Axis, while ABP-CVoter predicted 17-19.

In Tamil Nadu and Kerala, it was predicted by exit polls that the BJP would gain one to four seats.

Both India Today-My Axis and ABP-CVoter gave NDA 2-4 seats in Tamil Nadu and between one and three seats in Kerala. With 25 seats, the NDA is predicted to win the election in Andhra Pradesh; YSRCP’s 2019 count is expected to decrease from 22 to between 2 and 4 seats.

In all exit polls, the TDP was predicted to see a substantial increase, with its ally BJP also garnering between four and six seats. The BJP is expected to make progress in Telangana as well.

Importantly, in Karnataka, where it recently lost the Assembly polls, the BJP has been able to hold on with minimal losses, according to exit polls. In 2019, the party was able to win 25 out of 28 seats. The majority of exit polls estimated that the BJP would get between 18 and 25 seats.

The BJP has been making significant efforts in recent years to make inroads into southern states, particularly Kerala and Tamil Nadu, resulting in a significant trend. After two days of meditation at Vivekananda Rock in Kanyakumari, Tamil Nadu, Prime Minister Narendra Modi returned to New Delhi.

Fact Book on Indian Elections

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